ENERPO – Energy production improvement based on dynamic mobile positioning data

The main idea of the project is to improve the prediction of electricity consumption with the aim to increase the efficiency of electricity use. The prediction will be improved by taking the dynamic electricity consumer data into account. This would also lead to increased efficiency of electricity generation (minimize the difference between predicted and actual consumption).
Just as an example, in Estonia the capability to predict electricity consumption is already at a very good level. Average difference between hourly predicted and actual consumption stands are 3% with a median difference of 2.3% (based on Elering AS data January 2014 to March 2015). Currently, prediction is based on many external variables, including weather, day of the week, time, season, etc. At times prediction cancimmensely differ from actual data – 2.7% of the time the difference is over 10% and differences can be up to 50%. The errors in prediction might lead to losses of several thousands of EUR per day. Similar trends and potential can be expected to be also in other Nordic-Baltic countries. This project aims at increasing the predictability of electricity consumption via analysing the locational information of electricity consumers. For that purpose mobile positioning technique is used.
Such analysis of linking locational mobile data and patterns of energy consumption has not been explored yet. The project will explore such the possibilities of such analysis in Estonia, Finland and Lithuania. The importance of locational data for meeting the UN Sustainable Development Goals has be stressed recently at the UN Data Forum in January 2017 in Cape Town.
The seed money would be used for developing the main project that will study the usefulness of dynamic population data gathered by analysing big data from mobile network operators – mobile location data traces of domestic subscribers.
Project meetings:
Preparatory meeting, 31 Aug 2017, memo
Kick-off meeting, 14 September 2017, memo